Decoding Authorial Style:How “We” Evaluated and Compared Seven Writers Across 100 CriteriaDec 19, 2024Dec 19, 2024
Base Rates and the Outside View: The Leader’s Guide to Smarter DecisionsAs leaders, we’re often celebrated for our intuition and ability to make bold, decisive calls. But too often, intuition leads us astray —…Dec 18, 2024Dec 18, 2024
Confirmation Bias and Decision Leadership:How to Build a Culture of Clarity and Critical ThinkingNov 20, 20241Nov 20, 20241
An Open Letter to the Public on AI Development:Why We Should Focus on Rationality, Not AlignmentOct 22, 2024Oct 22, 2024
How to Structure the College DecisionI’m a father and currently run the Decision Leadership Institute, where we teach decision-making skills to executives. Before that, I led a…Oct 21, 2024Oct 21, 2024
Decision Leadership: How Leaders Can Improve Decision-Making:Managing Cognitive Biases, Thinking Probabilistically, and Structuring DecisionsSep 30, 2024Sep 30, 2024
Consciousness & AI: A Bayesian Examination for the RationalistIn the spirit of collective epistemic refinement, guided by the rationalist ethos of Less Wrong.Oct 18, 2023Oct 18, 2023